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It really does make me laugh when you here the pavlovian Labour party supporters tell us that the debt is rising under this government. The fact is the deficit was not going to be reduced to nil by June 2010 meaning that of course the debt was always going to rise. The clowns at the Labour party fail to realise that when you start with a deficit of £157bn it takes many years to bring that sort of irresponsible spending under control. Yet more evidence that the left are aloof from economic reality. If a government borrows it has to pay it back and it does so by taking taxes from tomorrows taxpayer to fund today’s services. That is intergenerational theft. The only time it is acceptable for governments to borrow is for infrastructure development as future generations – those that pay the taxes that fund it – get the benefit. However the Labour party used PFI so any borrowing was used to fund contemporaneous services. In other words, Labour borrowed heavily to bloat the public sector with 1m more jobs – almost all in administration positions – to secure votes. This meant that today’s taxpayer is left with a massive deficit to fund just so yesterdays society could have jobs. That is criminal and yet the lemmings still can’t work it out for themselves. Labour = fiscal diarrhea with no thought about the consequences for tomorrow’s generation. This problem we are in is without a doubt the result of Labours reckless spending to secure votes and it is taking a strong government to bring us back from the abyss.
I agree completely but you have to admit Osbourne is useless all this talk of cuts and austerity he's hardly mayed a start you look at the spending levels of this government he may as well be a Labour chancellor. Im afraid we are still living in Gordon Brown's world.
Oh look, economics is something else Jantra knows absolutely nothing about.
Is there no beginning to his talents?
What a substantive fact laden argument you present!Hats off to you good sir!
I honestly would try and emigrate for a time if Ed Balls ends up at the treasury in two years. I think Labour's poll lead atm is a bit exaggerated that question time audience in York didn't seem to buy their more borrowing and spending will magically solve our problems. Most people in this country understand this country is in too much debt already even if they don't fully comprehend the hole we are in.
Jantra and Huw capitalism is not an “economic reality” anymore than socialism is, they are both human constructs. Money is invented into existence out of nothing, fractional banking, quantative easing, printing cash etc. In itself money represents nothing.
Both systems rely, and capitalism has been the more successful in this respect, upon exploiting “economic growth”. The reality here is that growth only works if populations increase, if more energy is used in the system and if more resources( metals, plastics, agricultural goods, natural goods) are consumed.
This is the Achilles heel, the highest quality resources have already been used and the resources most easily accessed have already been used. We are moving irreversibly down a slope to lower quality more dispersed resources which take increasing amounts of energy to extract and process. Energy sources are moving down the same slope.
If more energy and resources are used to extract the remaining resources than was the case in the recent past then less is left for the rest of the economic system and it will grow more slowly and eventually contract.
Even if we ignore all the environmental damage we are on a path that the system cannot sustain and this is the real predicament we find ourselves in. Conservation and efficiency can help to maintain the system for a little longer and borrowing in these areas is justified.
The economy has many problems but a large part of government spending is on welfare and is a result of the current economic system not being able to utilise the human resource available, people are either under-employed or are unemployed. Even a substantial increase in manufacturing will not change this since manufacturing is largely mechanised. Mechanisation of service sectors (self driving vehicles) will in the future exacerbate the problem.
The UK can have the aim to export more to pay our way but that route is being pursued by every other nation on Earth and every country on Earth cannot be a net exporter. So debt at some stage has to extinguished somewhere on earth. Individuals and companies can enter bankruptcy and counties can extinguish odious debt (Iraq after US Invasion). If we cannot let banks go bust then you have to let countries go bust and extinguish debt in an orderly manner.
The current systems whether capitalism or socialism are leading us to a major crunch this century unless we can arrange a form of steady state economy.
It is for this reason above that I support high density housing and stiff restrictions for building on agricultural lands.
I think this article sums up the absolutely monumental, breathtaking incompetence and duplicity of the current regime in Westminster than anything I could possibly add:
http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/2013/03/george-osbornes-economic-policy-based-lies
the new statesman - hardly objective journalism.
these infrastructure projects - how quickly do you think they happen? just for reference, HS2 is a bigger investment in national infrastructure than anything we saw between 1997-2010. The Coalition is doing more for the UK's long term stability than just sticking a plaster on it.
Of course you embarrass yourself and so does the journalist by reference to the investment bank - perhaps you have never heard of regulation, Basel 2, Solvency 2 and capital adequacy requirements, never mind european rules on state aid. We have already established the left know little about economic reality and it also appears they have complete disregard for the regulatory framework that we operate under.
I could go on - I'm surprised anyone of intelligence would read such an article as it is so full of flaws it really does current affairs reporting a complete dis-service. pure political bluster with no basis in fact.
The governmet could start a programme of house building more or less immediately, they could also restart the school building programme shelved by Gove when he took office. Both of these would help the construction industry which is currently dying on its arse.
As usual, your comments consist entirely of vacuous bluster, with no evidence of thought or insight.
The most recent economic statistics showed construction down 7.9% in January, and 10% over three months.
New orders were down 12.7%.
The plural of "anecdote" is not "data".
A dog is a four legged animal. That doesn't mean all four legged animals are dogs. Just because construction is picking up in Cardiff does not mean that cardiffs private sector is doing as well as other cities.
Would you care to explain plaids radical and innovative approach to saving Wales from years of going backwards? Hopefully an approach which doesn't have language fascism anywhere near it.
Jantra. Lyndon didn't say that Cardiff was struggling. He said that the construction sector was. You have inferred, wrongly probably that he thinks that Cardiff is struggling. We are struggling/thriving on roughly a par with other major UK cities
Try reading and UNDERSTANDING Jeremy's post, then mine and Lyndon's follow-ups. Maybe these ideas are too radical for your mind.
Jantra, just because Central Square hasn't been developed, doesn't mean that Cardiff isn't a wealthy city. In absolute terms, Cardiff is a wealthy city. In relative terms, Cardiff is a fairly affluent city. So what if Bristol has slightly higher office rents or Manchester has more funky bars? The differences are pretty small.
I don't have much to my name but I am grateful for what I do have. I am lucky to have been born in a rich country and to have a roof over my head and food in my fridge. I have devoted my life to study, my offspring, voluntary work (building up people's self esteem and advocacy) and working for a better, independent Wales. I am not interested in having a big house or flashy car.
The biggest problems that we face as a nation are negativity and fear. People who constantly find fault with Wales or the Welsh aren't helping,are they?
These self-hating Welsh men and women believe that there isn't the talent to run the country politically or administratively, or that we don't have the entrepreneurial talent or business skills to have a successful economy. What is it then, about the Welsh that makes us so uniquely talentless? Everyone from Bolivians to Mongolians manage to run their own countries. Are we genetically different?
No we are not. We are psychologically different. Conditioned to think that we are a bit crap by the British state, over the past centuries and also by the traitors (to themselves and their compatriots) in our midst.
If you don't like Wales,if all you want to offer is negativity and criticism, then please move somewhere where you will be happier. You don't like us and we can't stand you.
You are dragging Wales down more than any of the issues,people,institutions, events or attitudes that you moan about so much.
Please leave. We will be better off without you
so it's a Wales for those who only agree with your views. splendid.
Since you are a paid up member of the innovative radicalists can you explain what a few of the policies around the following are. I am a floating voter and can be easily convinced...
1. what is plaids position regarding Schengen?
2. do plaid want independence? If the answer is yes, is this independence from Westminster where we replace the Westminster begging bowl with the Brussels begging bowl or do we want full independence where we stand on our own tow feet without any outside interference whatsoever? The reason I ask is that if Plaid are happy to take the Brussels begging bowl then that really isn't independence and merely anti English sentiment. It is ok to be beholden to Brussels but not Westminster.
3. what will Plaid do to make Wales a thriving economy with a strong private sector?
As for your comments regarding my opinion of Wales, this is based upon travelling extensively and seeing how things can be done in other not so affluent areas right across the world.
you say Cardiff is wealthy and affluent but I disagree. We have a shit hole for a central square. If we had any money then Central square would not be the embarrassment that it is. We have an economy that is totally reliant on state support from England, we have an airport that belongs in a museum. we have politicians who can't see that Wales economy runs east/west both in the north and south and try and create links between North and South via ridiculous state subsidy of airlines. The law of unintended consequences gave IWJ a shorter journey to work though - how lucky was that!
perhaps you can go some way towards explaining why Plaid are worthy of my vote - how do they intend to stimulate the Welsh economy? will they have courage in their convictions and tell Westminster to reduce Barnett to only what we pay into Westminster (after all independence means fiscal independence).
These are questions I have asked and the paid up party members of the innovative radicalists have yet to provide any sort of answer.
Also, can Plaid guarantee no form of language fascism whatsoever?
Schengen? We don't have a policy. We don't need one.
Independence? Yes from the UK. Many within the party disagree with the EU as is. The European Commission must be reformed. That IS policy. I would prefer the EU to be scrapped.
Thriving economy? Independence and then a generation of good education, national esteem-building, investing in our strengths (energy,culture, tourism,higher education, life sciences, automotive, aviation, food, proximity to London),meritocracy without the albatross of the English class system around our necks.
Given that Welsh coal powered the Royal Navy as it raped and pillaged the world I think that the whole Barnett argument is fraught with contradictions. England has had an extracive ,colonial attitude to Wales and has hamstrung our efforts to be self sufficient.
There is such extensive literature on these subjects. Maybe you should research the history of your country a little because you come across as blinkered and ignorant.
If we carry on as an appendage of England I doubt that we will prosper in the decades or centuries to come. But I also doubt that we will starve.
Other people have pointed out that all the economic indicators for the North-East region of England are very similar to those of Wales. The population is about 3 million in each area and both are post-industrial. The legacy of failing to replace the coal and steel industries haunts both the NE and Wales.
If we were independent we would, in my opinion have more people in power with a vested interest in our prosperity. We would be able to vary our policies and statutes to exploit niches and promote our strengths. The recent Heseltine report suggested devolving some economic levers to regions in England . This has been welcomed in the North East. I bet there isn't a single Geordie or Mackem who thinks "hold on, we are a bit crap at running things, better let London keep its powers".
And do you know why? They don't have the self-hating psychology of the pathetic Welsh lickspittles. They don't have any Jantras
Lucky bastards.
I do care about the sick, the poor,the frightened and the persecuted. That's who I am. I do worry about you a bit because You,Jantra are a bleedin mentalist. God knows why you think that you work a fourteen hour day.
I am grateful that your time in Plaid was brief. You are all over the place mate. A legend in your own mind.
God bless
Jantra. Mentalist because of all the arguments you have online with dozens of different people. You don't "listen", you change the thrust of your argument, refuse to admit that you are wrong, you don't seem to know how to research subjects that you argue about.
You are a libertarian, from the Chicago school, or the Austrian school, or a conservative or whatever. All these high-falutin ideas you have about yourself.
All your fantasies about being a pill-poppin, body-rocking DJ of repute, or a lone crusader against the incompetence and corruption of the Welsh political, governing and business class.
It's all very funny but also quite sad. You have been described as Quixotic. I prefer to think of you as Meldrewesque or maybe a tragic analogue of Rik from the Young Ones updated to the present era.
I genuinely feel sorry for you
The arguments happen because I dare speak my mind and state what are, to some, unpalatable truths. Bringing my personal life or history into is poor form but to be expected when you have no argument. You claim that I am wrong but offer nothing to counter my point of view save for rhetoric - its all piss and wind
BTW
libertarian = wish to see less state interference and wish for individuals to be responsible for their own actions and path in life. the state certainly does not know best
fiscal conservative = governments have no right to take off tomorrows taxpayer to provide for todays taxpayer. that is theft. lets live within our means and if we have to go without then so be it
austrian school = free market economy with as little government intervention as possible - in other words, the market will - if left to its own devices - provide the optimum allocation and best utilisation of resource to the benefit of all. inflation is a way for governments to manage their debts although they mask it as price inflation. inflation did not really exist prior to central banks acting for governments. hence if governments ignored monetary policy and let prices fluctuate on their own, prices would be stable as the money supply would be stable. if you double the amount of money and double prices at the same time, including wages, then in real terms you still have the same purchasing power as before. poor governments default, governments with their own printing press increase the money supply (QE). it is artificial. money only has value because governments will accept it in lieu of taxation.
i was never a DJ - although I did some producing with a university friend of mine.
what the above has to do with anything only you know. it is not highfalutin, grandiose or pompous, it is a set of basic principles that most accountants will follow. we as a profession have to maximise resource and capital allocation, we have to increase productivity. you don't achieve that via someone with no interest in your business or goal telling you what to do.
Good answers, lots of meat on the bones.
Why couldn't Wales adopt schengen?
If Wales was independent we wouldn't have the tax base to fund our Public sector largesse so we would have to make the pro-market reforms we badly need like privatisation just like happened in eastern Europe in the 90's I would be very supportive of that. That's what I don't understand about Plaid pushing for independence and more fiscal devolution their elected politicans like Leanne Wood are contastanly preaching against "austerity" going on marches in support of the public sector yet if we end up with what they want then we won#t be able to use powers over tax and spend to fund the aims of their silly dogmatic socialist ideology. They are a joke of a party I always think of how they went into coalition with Labour back in 2007 when they could have led a rainbow coalition, they have failed to over Wales anything no wonder they have 11 AM's.
Excuse my spelling on that lol I typed very fast and i'm dyslexic.
Jantra my view of the future is anything but bucolic more of a nightmare.
The problem that you do not address is that growth in an economic sense means that worldwide humanity uses increasing amounts of all resources. Not steady demand but increasing demand. This means you have to find more and more reserves and be able to extract the resource with ever increasing speed and in ever increasing amounts. Exponential growth is the Achilles heel.
Technology can enable limits to be overcome, Newcombes steam engine to pump water out of coal mines was one of the earliest examples from the modern world. Fracking for coal and oil is one of the more modern examples , although it has been available as a technology since the 1970’s. Still there are limits, for example once you are using more energy to extract a unit of energy than you can usefully use it becomes a pointless exercise. Similarly with metal ores you can develop technology to exploit lower and lower grades of ore, but as an ore is a concentration of a particular element in the earths crust you will often find that concentration suddenly drop off a cliff straight to a general background level in continental rocks. You cannot go ever deeper into the crust, temperature, humidity and pressure overcomes any potential technology ( I am ignoring the asteroid or moon potential as lumps of metal coming down the Earth’s gravity well at 25,000mph does not fill me with confidence)
As an example of how the UK mishandles it’s resources just look at the example of natural gas in the news this week end as we are coming close to rationing in March. Why? Not a broken pipeline but the inability to think long term and develop storage facilities. Germany can store over three months of gas, buying supply when cheaper in the summer, and can cover interruption in supply. A couple of cold weeks and the UK is in trouble. In addition the UK burns through reserves as quickly as possible so that the North Sea is depleting fast while the Netherlands (which has the largest gasfield in Europe, Gronigen) will still be producing for the next 50 years. The Netherlands has ignored commercial pressures and limits extraction. The UK privatisation of gas resources has been a disaster.
Markets put short term e.g. wrong values on resources and allocate them to the present rather than utilising them prudently, they do not think about resources available to our sons .
As you should be able to see prudent and exponential do not mix.
In addition, Jantra, hard work and long hours is no guarantee of a” good quality of life” if it was those living in the slums of Lagos or Bombay would all be multi-millionaires.
Government borrowing is not all bad, you and I have been paying our taxes that has in part been used to pay interest on first world war bonds, there is no redemption date and the interest rate is so low that redemption of other debts has taken priority, but after hundred years the debt has been reduced by inflation. Useful little trick and not the end of civilisation. Beyond that though while interest on government debt is paid it is not all lost to the UK economy, in 2012 31% of the debt was owned by overseas holders but 23% is held by insurers and pension funds (probably your own pension pot), 9% by banks and building societies and 26% by the Bank of England and the remainder by individuals, companies, local authorities. The majority of that interest is recycled back into the UK economy.
A new economic model is needed and will arrive by fair means or foul. I would prefer the fair means because foul will be unpredictable and likely violent. Keeping to our current course will lead to disaster not just to the UK but the world.
FAO Lyndon / B Lee Dingobvious
I have asked in this thread how Plaid intend to finance all these wonderful initiatives that no other political party has ever thought of :- good education, strong skills based economy, investment in infrastructure and so on.
is there any chance of you explaining to us floating voters how Plaid is going to turn what is effectively an almost third world nation subsidised by England into a Celtic BRIC equivalent? I'd really like to believe that we have a party who can do all of that but as an accountant I'd really like to understand the finances to make sure it is not pie in the sky wishy washy political round objects.
We'd restore economic growth to Wales for a start.
You remember economic growth? It's that thing we used to have before George Osborne moved into No 11.
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